Publications

1. 2025 · CNS Drugs

   Hippocampal Atrophy on Magnetic Resonance Imaging as a Surrogate Marker for Clinical Benefit and Neurodegeneration in Early Symptomatic Alzheimer’s Disease: Synthesis of Evidence from Observational and Interventional Trials

   Hendrix, Suzanne · Dickson, Samuel · Durrant, Abe

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   Amyloid-plaque reduction is currently the only recognized surrogate outcome for Alzheimer’s disease (AD) trials, allowing accelerated approval of plaque-clearing amyloid antibodies. However, plaque reduction does not facilitate the development of new non-plaque-clearing treatments. The hippocampus is among the first brain regions affected by AD pathology, exhibiting synaptic dysfunction and neurodegeneration that manifests as hippocampal atrophy and memory decline. We evaluated hippocampal volume (HV) as a potential surrogate outcome that can predict clinical benefit in disease-modification trials. Using published data from observational and interventional studies that examined both cognition and HV on volumetric magnetic resonance imaging (vMRI), we evaluated the cross-sectional correlations of HV to cognitive performance, the longitudinal correlations of HV atrophy to cognitive decline, HV sensitivity to drug effects, and the correlations between drug effects on HV atrophy and cognitive decline. We also examined the magnitude of HV protection that corresponds to meaningful clinical benefit. Analyses from 30 observational studies encompassing 13,187 individuals (2633 cognitively normal; 10,554 early AD) showed significant cross-sectional correlations between baseline HV and cognition, and longitudinal correlations between HV atrophy and cognitive decline over ≥ 1 year. The relationship of HV–cognitive drug effects was examined at the group level in nine placebo-controlled trials of five antiamyloid agents that evaluated HV in early AD trials of at least 18 months’ duration. These trials included four amyloid antibodies (aducanumab, lecanemab, donanemab, and gantenerumab) and one oral anti-oligomer agent (valiltramiprosate). Individual-level HV–cognition relationships were examined in two valiltramiprosate studies, one of which included diffusion tensor imaging (DTI) providing microstructural correlates of HV drug effects and helping distinguish neuroprotection from brain edema. Across these anti-amyloid drug trials (total N ~10,000), there was a linear relationship between drug effects on slowing of cognitive decline and slowing of HV atrophy. Two anti-oligomer trials (valiltramiprosate) reported significant subject-level correlations between drug effects on HV and cognition over 18–24 months (r = −0.40 to −0.44, p < 0.005, N = 50/69), with significant correlations of drug effects on brain microstructure (decreased mean diffusivity) with both HV and cognitive benefits, supporting reduced neurodegeneration. The minimal HV preservation at the mild cognitive impairment (MCI) stage that is associated with clinical benefit is estimated to be ≥ 40 mm3 or ≥ 10% of atrophy in the placebo arm over 18 months. Our findings demonstrate that hippocampal atrophy is an early indicator of cognitive decline in AD, linked to amyloid and tau-related neurodegeneration. HV on standardized vMRI is sensitive to anti-amyloid treatments, demonstrating strong correlations between slowed hippocampal atrophy and slowed cognitive decline. Data from over 23,000 subjects over three decades support HV as a surrogate marker for predicting clinical benefit in early symptomatic AD.

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2. 2025 · Alzheimer's & Dementia

   Leveraging recent advances in plasma biomarkers to optimize early proof of concept trials in Alzheimer’s disease

   Duncan, Garrett · Dickson, Samuel · Johnson, Sam · Dayley, Caleb · Hendrix, Suzanne · Mallinckrodt, Craig

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   INTRODUCTION: The importance of biomarkers as a primary outcome or as supportive evidence of clinical effect is rising as the field shifts toward disease-modifying treatments and earlier intervention, because they have lower variability and can indicate disease progression earlier than clinical outcomes. This study assessed the performance of plasma pTau 181 and 217 as a predictive biomarker and potential primary endpoint in early-phase Alzheimer’s disease (AD) trials. METHODS: Summary data from recent monoclonal antibody (mAb) trials including plasma pTau 181 and 217 were analyzed to evaluate associations between plasma pTau 181/217 and clinical outcomes. The suitability of plasma pTau 181/217 as a surrogate endpoint for internal decision making was assessed using Prentice criteria. Simulations were conducted to explore the statistical power of using plasma pTau 181/217 as a primary outcome in dose-escalation, proof-of-concept (POC) trial designs. Additional criteria for biomarker validation were applied to simulated data. RESULTS: A strong group-level correlation (r = 0.781) was observed between treatment effects on plasma pTau 181/217 and Clinical Dementia Rating scale – Sum of Boxes (CDR-SB). Mean change in plasma pTau 181/217 significantly predicted mean change in CDR-SB (p = 0.013). The treatment effect on pTau 181/217 was ∼2.6 times greater than on CDR-SB. Prentice Criteria 1, 2, and 4 were met or reasonably met; Criterion 3 is not applicable in the POC setting. CONCLUSION: Plasma pTau 181/217 at 6 months shows future promise to reasonably likely predict clinical benefit for drugs that reduce pTau 181/217 levels, supporting its use as a primary endpoint in early-phase trials. With effect sizes similar to those seen with donanemab, adequately powered trials may require as few as 100 participants. Such trials should include prespecified analyses to evaluate individual-level Prentice criteria, and pTau 181/217 results can be used to predict potential Phase 3 clinical outcomes.

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3. 2025 · Journal of Alzheimer’s Disease

   Efficacy of AD04, an aluminum-based vaccine adjuvant, in patients with early Alzheimer's disease: Post hoc analysis of AFF006 (NCT01117818), a proof-of-concept, phase 2 randomized controlled trial

   Haaland, Benjamin · Dickson, Samuel · Christensen, Joshua · Mallinckrodt, Craig · Hendrix, Suzanne

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   Background The AFF006 trial (NCT01117818) provided unexpected evidence of benefits of the vaccine adjuvant AD04 (aluminum oxyhydroxide) in patients with early Alzheimer's disease (AD), compared with AD02, a vaccine consisting of a peptide that mimics the N-terminal region of human amyloid-β (Aβ) conjugated with keyhole limpet hemocyanin. Objective The objective of this post hoc analysis was to assess whether this unexpected benefit of AD04 was an artifact of multiple testing (i.e., type I error inflation) or a robust result. Methods In this post hoc assessment, we used permutation testing to estimate type I error inflation due to the evaluation of multiple outcomes in AFF006. Efficacy was assessed using a patient-level global statistical test combining composite endpoints of cognition, function, and global AD. In addition, we examined the observed treatment benefits of AD04 in the context of effects observed in trials of aducanumab, donanemab, and lecanemab, monoclonal anti-Aβ antibodies that received regulatory approval for AD. Results The global statistical test suggested a treatment benefit of AD04 versus ineffective AD02 arms, even after accounting for multiplicity (primary methodology p-value, 0.03; permutation test p-value, 0.02). The observed effect estimates for AD04 compared favorably with approved monoclonal antibodies. Conclusions Post-hoc analyses are hypothesis generating rather than confirmatory. Adjusting for multiplicity using permutation testing can determine whether post-hoc effects are worth pursuing, or unlikely to be confirmed. These analyses have motivated a follow-up prospective randomized controlled trial, ADVANCE (EudraCT 2022-003532-73), in which optimized AD04 dosing will be compared to placebo in early AD.

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4. 2025 · J Prev Alzheimers Dis

   Donanemab: Appropriate use recommendations

   Hendrix, Suzanne

   + Abstract

   Donanemab (Kisunla®), an IgG1 monoclonal antibody targeting N-terminal pyroglutamate-modified forms of amyloid-β, is approved in the United States for treatment of early symptomatic Alzheimer's disease (AD). Appropriate Use Recommendations (AUR) were developed to guide the implementation of donanemab in real-world practice, prioritizing safety considerations and opportunity for effectiveness. The AUR were developed by the AD and Related Disorders Therapeutic Workgroup by consensus, integrating available data and expert opinion. Appropriate candidates for donanemab treatment include persons with mild cognitive impairment or mild dementia due to AD (Clinical Stages 3-4, MMSE 20-30) who have biomarker confirmation of AD pathology by PET or CSF. Tau PET is not required for eligibility. Apolipoprotein E (APOE) genotyping should be performed prior to treatment to inform an individual's risk of developing Amyloid-Related Imaging Abnormalities (ARIA). Pre-treatment MRI should be obtained no more than 12 months prior to treatment. Patients with findings of >4 cerebral microbleeds, cortical superficial siderosis or a major vascular contribution to cognitive impairment should be excluded from treatment. The decision to initiate therapy should be grounded in a shared decision-making process that emphasizes the patient's values and goals of care. Donanemab is administered as a monthly intravenous infusion. Surveillance MRIs to evaluate for ARIA should be performed prior to the 2nd, 3rd, 4th and 7th infusions, prior to the 12th dose in higher risk individuals, and at any time ARIA is suspected clinically. Clinicians may consider discontinuing treatment if amyloid clearance is demonstrated by amyloid PET, typically obtained 12-18 months after initiating treatment.

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5. 2023 · Neurology: Clinical Practice

   Meaningful Clinical Changes in Alzheimer Disease Measured With the iADRS and Illustrated Using the Donanemab TRAILBLAZER-ALZ Study Findings

   Dickson, Samuel · Hendrix, Suzanne

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