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Neuropsychiatric endpoints in dementia

Agitation, apathy and depression in dementia are heterogeneous, rater-dependent and badly measured. That is the exact problem class we have spent twenty-five years on.

Samuel Dickson, PhDSamuel Dickson, PhD · Sr. VP of Statistics

May 4, 2026
Auvelity approved for agitation in Alzheimer's disease, the first non-antipsychotic in the indication.
192 trials · 158 agents
The 2026 Alzheimer's disease pipeline.
~10%
of that pipeline now targets neuropsychiatric symptoms rather than disease modification.
The measurement problem

The symptoms are real. The scales struggle to see them.

Disease-modification trials measure a slow, roughly monotonic decline. Neuropsychiatric symptoms do not behave that way. Agitation flares and settles. Apathy hides inside depression, and depression inside apathy. A caregiver's report on Tuesday depends on what Monday night was like.

The instruments inherit all of that. They are rated, not measured; they lean on informants; their items overlap across constructs; and their week-to-week noise can be as large as the treatment effect a sponsor is hoping to show.

None of this is new to us. Slow, heterogeneous, hard-to-measure change is the problem the methods on our methods page exist to solve. The disease-modification programs taught us how; the neuropsychiatric programs are where that transfers next.

Heterogeneous

Populations that do not decline in one direction

Composite construction and modeling of visit-to-visit variability, rather than a single change-from-baseline number.

Rater-dependent

Endpoints that depend on who is asking

Rater and site variability treated as a design and monitoring question, not a post-hoc excuse.

Badly measured

Instruments with overlap and noise

Item-level analysis to find where the signal actually lives, and to pre-specify an endpoint a reviewer will accept.

Why now

The indication is open, and the measurement question is unanswered

The first non-antipsychotic approval for agitation in Alzheimer's disease has shown that the regulatory path exists. Roughly a tenth of the Alzheimer's pipeline is now pointed at neuropsychiatric symptoms. What most of those programs share is an endpoint question nobody has yet settled: which instrument, which items, which analysis, and how to keep a rater-dependent primary from deciding the readout.

Those are the questions we want to be asked early, while the protocol is still a draft and the SAP has not locked. The left-hand side of the timeline is where this is least expensive.

Next step

Thirty minutes on your endpoint

A senior statistician, your protocol, no deck. You'll leave knowing whether your measurement plan has a problem.

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